Friday football digest, week 14

Boyle County vs. Lexington Catholic. It just sounds like good football, and it usually is.

But when the two teams meet for the second time this season in tonight’s Class 4A, Region 3 final, will it be any more of a game than when the Rebels shellacked the Knights six weeks ago? Maybe, but probably not much.

Boyle’s 42-10 win on Oct. 8 — at Lexington Catholic, no less — was the most lopsided of the 15 games the two teams have played, and it’s hard to imagine that the Knights could completely close a 32-point gap in such a short time. Still, that game was the exception in this usually compelling series, which has included six playoff games.

Although Lexington Catholic first became familiar to local fans while battling Garrard County and Harrodsburg through much of the 1990s when its program was young, it has now played more games against Boyle than against any other Advocate-area team. Boyle leads the series 10-5 overall and 4-2 in the postseason and has won five straight games — including two straight regional finals — since Lexington Catholic won a 2007 playoff game on its way to the 4A championship.

Nine of the teams’ 15 meetings have been decided by eight points or less, six have been decided by four points or less, and three have been decided by one or two points.

But the playoff games lean a little more toward the lopsided. Here’s the history:

  • 1998: Lexington Catholic 28-13 (second round)
  • 1999: Boyle County 21-17 (regional final)
  • 2000: Boyle County 18-16 (regional final)
  • 2007: Lexington Catholic 41-12 (second round)
  • 2008: Boyle County 23-16 (regional final)
  • 2009: Boyle County 34-20 (regional final)

That’s a trend that I think will continue tonight, with very little impeding the Rebels’ march toward Pineville and another long-awaited semifinal matchup with Bell County next week.

Across town, it should also be a good night for Danville, which can win its first regional title since 2006 with a win over Monroe County in the Class 2A, Region 2 final.

Monroe is a tough opponent, but the Falcons appear to be no tougher than the Green County team Danville defeated last week. They actually finished third in their district after losing to both Green and Glasgow, beat Washington County by one point in the first round of the playoffs, got a break in their bracket when No. 1 seed Glasgow was knocked off by Fort Knox, then beat Fort Knox to advance to Danville.

A rash of turnovers or a generally bad game could be the Admirals’ undoing at any point from here on out, but if they’re on top of their game, they would seem to have enough to reach the semifinals.

The picks:

  • Boyle County over Lexington Catholic.
  • Danville over Monroe County.

Last week: 4-0; season: 56-10 (.848).

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